Trade deficit surges to all-time high


ISLAMABAD  – Pakistan’s trade deficit has surged to all-time high $37.67 billion during previous fiscal year (FY2018) as imports increased faster than exports.

The country’s trade deficit has gone up by 15.95 percent in one year. The trade deficit has recorded at $37.67 billion during FY2018 as against $32.49 billion of the corresponding period of the previous year, according to Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS).

Imports have increased more than exports, which has widened the trade deficit to highest level of the country.

Trade deficit has touched $37.67 billion during FY2018 surpassing the previous year highest level of $32.58 billion.

Trade deficit has even surpassed the revised estimated target of $29.4 billion due to massive increase in imports. The government had set the trade deficit target at $25.7 billion, which was upward revised to $29.4 billion.

However, the deficit has reached to $37.67 billion. The trade deficit has adverse implications on the current account deficit and foreign currency reserves.

Pakistan’s current account deficit is expected to touch $16 billion during FY2018 as against the government’s budgetary target of $9 billion mainly due to increase in trade deficit .

The rising trade deficit had been one of the most serious challenges for the PML-N government in the last year of its five-year term which completed on May 31.

According to PBS, Pakistan’s imports have recorded at $60.9 billion during FY2018 as against $52.9 billion of the previous year showing an increase of 15.1 percent. The import bill has exceeded the revised annual estimates of $54.2 billion for the outgoing fiscal year.  Imports increased to beyond $60 billion for the first time in country’s history. The import bill is rising due to an increase in the arrival of capital goods, petroleum products and food products.

On the other hand, the country’s exports had increased to $23.2 billion during FY2018 as against $20.4 billion of the corresponding period of the previous year showing growth of 13.74 percent. Exports have enhanced mainly due to sharp rupee depreciation as against dollar, improvement in energy supply, partially releasing of refunds and cash subsidies under the Prime Minister Export Package. Therefore, the trade deficit has recorded at $37.7 billion during the last fiscal year.

Annual Data

Pakistan’s exports have declined by 1 percent to $1.89 billion in June 2018 from $1.90 billion of June 2017. Meanwhile, the imports recorded a growth of 26.2 percent and reached $5.7 billion in June 2018 from $4.5 billion in the same period of the last year. Therefore, the trade deficit was recorded at $3.81 billion in June 2018 as against $2.61 billion of June 2017, showing an increase of 46.09 percent.

Monthly results

On month-on-month basis, exports in June massively reduced by 11.99 percent to $1.89 billion over June from $2.14 billion of May 2018. Similarly, imports in June have also decreased by 2.06 percent to $5.69 billion from $5.8 billion of May. The month-on-month trade deficit this time was up by 3.73 percent and recorded at $3.81 billion during June 2018.


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